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Property
in Bulgaria, by Western European standards is very inexpensive. Bulgaria has
so much to offer it is not surprising it is quickly getting more popular as
an alternative country for property investment from the traditional European
destinations. Some shrewd investors who bought in Bulgaria two years ago have
seen the value of their property increase dramatically. But there is still much
potential, peak real estate deals at the sea side are at 120 Euros per square
meter but property experts expect this to rise to 400 Euros per square meter
by 2007.
The
average 2004 increase of Bulgarian real estate prices is between 24 % and 28
%. The expectations are slowing down the tendency and keeping a moderate, but
systematic pace of increase until year 2007, the tentative year scheduled for
Bulgaria to join the European Union.
Local
property market is experiencing an impressive revival and there are several
factors that contribute to this:
Mortgage
lending potential -
currently, mortgage loans are 5% of the total credit supply within the local
banking sector. In developed credit markets, this rate is usually in the range
of 15 - 20%.
Increased foreign direct and indirect investment in Bulgarian
real estate determined by:
- Bulgaria expected EU membership perspective;
- Expanding tourist industry;
Stable macroeconomic indicators:
- GDP annual growth of 4.5 % to 5%;
- Dropping unemployment rate: from over 16 % to under 13 % for the last 15 months;
- Improved credit rating – BBB-.
- Attractive Return on Investment rates in the real estate sector – on
average 15 to 18 percent.
The market of Black Sea coastal real estate in Bulgaria has grown significantly
since the beginning of year 2005. Sales prices of brand new income residential
properties have increased almost twice in some areas compared to year 2004.
Seafront real estate was on average 30% more expensive than water view locations.
Bulgaria is still a popular holiday destination for lower income tourists, which
is the main reason for higher demand for smaller and cheaper real estate.
Local
market of residential properties in big cities along Black Sea coast has grown
notably. During the last year demand was higher than supply, due on one hand
to the increased supply of mortgage loans and on the other to consistent migration
of workforce from inside the country to sea resorts and big coastal urban centers
like Varna and Bourgas where more jobs are available. In 2004 the unemployment
rate for the city of Varna was 5% in accordance with the NSI of Bulgaria. As
a result, the price hike of residential property was almost 24% in Varna.
Plots
of land were also attractive for investment purposes. In 2005 their prices had
increased more than 30% on average compared to year 2004. Some beachfront parcels
for development of leisure properties had reached EUR 80/sq.m. compared to similar
properties sold at USD 40/sq.m. in 2004. In certain areas close to leading resorts
like Albena, Golden Sands, Sunny Beach and others, prices had increased more
than twice for the previous year and varied between EUR 100-150/sq.m.
During
the first quarter of year 2005 the REMI index, reflecting real estate trends
on the residential, business and land markets, has risen with 4.28 points, prodded
by the rising prices at residential areas.
According
to NSI of Bulgaria, the quarterly real estate prices growth rate is 12.5%. Yet,
Sofia is the most expensive real estate market with 2.8% increase followed by
the towns of Varna (23.7%), and Bourgas (16.8%).
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